Executive Secretary

IV International Conference on Sustainable Energy Development "CIDES 2025"

IV International Conference on Sustainable Energy Development

CIDES 2025

Capacity expansion expectations for the electrical system in Bolivia under deep-decarbonization contexts
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This paper explores the prospects for expansion and transition of the electricity system in Bolivia, in a context of growing sustainability goals and climate commitments, considering that the country is highly dependent on fossil fuels and primarily managed by the state. It reviews this by integrating scenario-based expectations for the development of Bolivia, which has historically relied on a short-term planning approach and has finally established some long-term goals, seeking to expand its electricity system and integrate renewable energy into the mix, both in 2030 and 2050 plans. Three development scenarios are proposed: implementation of existing plans, expanded availability of natural gas, and a net-zero emissions scenario. The analysis of the power systems uses PyPSA-BO, a model adapted to reflect Bolivia's specific characteristics. The analysis concludes that, although there has been progress in energy planning, achieving a real transition will be a greater challenge than the one currently provided by the government, requiring policies that integrate the electricity sector into a broader and more sustainable energy framework.

Este documento explora las perspectivas de expansión y transición del sistema eléctrico en Bolivia, en un contexto de crecientes objetivos de sostenibilidad y compromisos climáticos, considerando que el país depende en gran medida de los combustibles fósiles y está gestionado principalmente por el Estado. Esto se analiza integrando las expectativas basadas en escenarios para el desarrollo de Bolivia, que históricamente se ha basado en un enfoque de planificación a corto plazo y finalmente ha establecido objetivos a largo plazo, buscando expandir su sistema eléctrico e integrar las energías renovables en la matriz energética, tanto en los planes 2030 como 2050. Se proponen tres escenarios de desarrollo: implementación de los planes existentes, mayor disponibilidad de gas natural y cero emisiones netas.

About The Speaker

Carlos A. A. Fernandez Vazquez

Carlos A. A. Fernandez Vazquez

ULiege Flag of Belgium

Discussion

Practical Info
English (US)
October 23, 2025 3:20 PM
14 minutes
Hotel Meliá Las Dunas
Authors
Carlos A. A. Fernandez Vazquez
Keywords
bolivia
energy modelling
energy planning
energy transition
modelación energética
planificación energética
policy
políticas
transición energética